Sunday, 10 June 2012

Euro 2012 - A Betting Method...


We all want to find a way to win at the Euro's and I've been thinking of a few ideas of how best to try and win big. Let's face it; we all know that staking a reasonable amount on a single is the best way to approach betting but, quite frankly, we sometimes want the chance of a bigger win. That unfortunately brings us to accumulators and the danger they bring. As I've explained in other articles, they are usually the devils work, losing more often than not and paying out far lower than the true odds when they are successful. They are however, the only real way of spending a little to potentially win a lot.
The first accumulator we're going to look at is accumulating the winners of each of the four groups. If we take the favourites in each group, Russia, Germany, Spain and England, a four fold accumulator would supply us with odds of 18-1. That's quite a nice bang for your buck wouldn't you say? The trouble is that we have no contingency if others were to win. So why don't we extend it to the top two in each group? If we change the bet for either Russia or Poland to win Group A, Germany and the Netherlands Group B, Spain or Italy Group C and England and France Group D, we could get a return of up to 112-1 if the second favourites all obliged. I should really just explain how that works.
In that example, you are in reality searching for any run of four wins, with two possibilities in each "game" shall we say. The trouble is that to perform this bet, you need to cover every possible combination and in this example, that's 16 (2*2*2*2). You therefore will win anywhere from 18-1 and 112-1 if either of the top favourites win each group. Of course, if you have to place 16 bets and you only win with the favourites, you'll return £19 to a £16 bet - not so good.
To help this, I would minimise Group C to just Spain as they are the clearest favourites. This reduces the number of bets you're placing to 8 and a return between 18-1 and 37-1.
If you wanted to expand things, you could match the favourite in the group with another, lower placed team that could surprise a few people. Let's say that you stick with only Spain in Group C but you select Russia and the Czechs in Group A, Group B Germany & Portugal and Group D England and Sweden. You would still have the option of collecting if every favourite paid off but also returning 269-1 if the more unlikely result
So there you are, a simple way of backing favourites in the Euro's that has a chance of a substantial win if all things come together. I'll be back shortly with another look at Accumulators that are low risk but hold the chance of larger rewards.
Rob Allen is a football fanatic who has been betting and playing fantasy football for the last 10 years. His book, "Yahoo Fantasy Football - Dominating the Competition" can be found on Amazon.


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